Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Famalicao win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
21.97% | 22.42% | 55.6% |
Both teams to score 56.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.27% | 42.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% | 65.13% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.73% | 33.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.11% | 69.88% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.76% | 15.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.09% | 43.9% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 5.78% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.31% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 8.97% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-3 @ 5.63% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.73% Total : 55.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |