Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Famalicao win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 21.97% | 22.42% | 55.6% |
| Both teams to score 56.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.27% | 42.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% | 65.13% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% | 33.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% | 69.88% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% | 15.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.09% | 43.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.31% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 8.97% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-3 @ 5.63% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.73% Total : 55.6% |