Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.38%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
| 72.43% | 18.68% | 8.89% |
| Both teams to score 36.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% | 52.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% | 74.02% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.89% | 13.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.26% | 39.74% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.23% | 57.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.53% | 89.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 15.63% 1-0 @ 15.38% 3-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 5.81% 4-0 @ 5.38% 4-1 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.12% Total : 72.42% | 1-1 @ 8.44% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 2.35% Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.68% | 0-1 @ 4.16% 1-2 @ 2.32% 0-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.27% Total : 8.89% |