Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 41.23% | 27.73% | 31.04% |
| Both teams to score 47.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% | 57.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% | 78.66% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% | 27.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% | 63.2% |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% | 34.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% | 70.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.03% |