Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Moreirense |
| 40.28% | 27.78% | 31.94% |
| Both teams to score 47.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.1% | 57.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% | 78.61% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% | 33.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% | 70.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.27% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.93% |