Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%).
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 42.46% | 26.5% | 31.04% |
| Both teams to score 51.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% | 74.83% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% | 24.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% | 59.44% |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% | 31.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% | 68.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 1% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.04% |