Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
| 45.16% | 26.31% | 28.52% |
| Both teams to score 50.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.39% | 53.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% | 75.11% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% | 23.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% | 57.76% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% | 33.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% | 70.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.52% |