Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
| 19.67% | 21.9% | 58.43% |
| Both teams to score 54.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% | 43.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% | 65.8% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% | 72.68% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% | 14.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.4% | 42.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.35% 2-1 @ 5.28% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.67% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 5.22% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 6.24% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 3.08% 0-4 @ 3.01% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.81% Total : 58.42% |