Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
19.67% | 21.9% | 58.43% |
Both teams to score 54.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.6% | 43.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.2% | 65.8% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.09% | 35.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.32% | 72.68% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% | 14.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% | 42.59% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.35% 2-1 @ 5.28% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.67% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 5.22% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 6.24% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 3.08% 0-4 @ 3.01% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.81% Total : 58.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |