Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.