J1 League
Dec 6, 2025 at 5am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2
Okayama

Takahashi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marcos Meireles (63'), Esaka (76')
Kamiya (32'), (32'), Marcos Meireles (65')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Fagiano Okayama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Okayama
Saturday, December 6 at 5am in J1 League

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Okayama
Saturday, December 6 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-2 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawFagiano Okayama
40.01%24.97%35.02%
Both teams to score 57.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27%45.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95%68.05%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59%56.41%
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59%25.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78%60.22%
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 40.01%
    Fagiano Okayama 35.02%
    Draw 24.97%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawFagiano Okayama
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.02%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 5am
gameweek 4
Okayama
1-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Kimura (75', 75')
Matsumoto (77'), Matsumoto (77')
Jeranireshon (68', 68')
Kitazume (83'), Kitazume (83')