Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Fagiano Okayama	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
30.74% ( 0.15)	27.06% ( 0.05)	42.19% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 49.54% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.43% (

-0.16)

55.56% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.26% (

-0.13)

76.73% (

0.13)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

0.02)

33.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

0.02)

69.63% (

-0.03)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

-0.18)

26.01% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.95% (

-0.24)

61.04% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Fagiano Okayama 30.74%

Shimizu S-Pulse 42.19%

Draw 27.05%

Fagiano Okayama	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.74%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.19%