J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 15, 2025 5.00am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Daichi Tagami 23' goal
  • Daichi Tagami 23' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 36' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 36' goal
  • Lucas Marcos Meireles 48' yellowcard
  • Lucas Marcos Meireles 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 64'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 64'
  • yellowcard Patrick 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Patrick 90'+2'

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Takaya Kimura

Kyoto Sanga

Last game
Dec 8, 2024 5.00am
Kyoto Sanga 0 - 0 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fagiano Okayama would win this match.

Result

Fagiano Okayama 40.88% (-0.01)
Draw 25.04% (+0.01)
Kyoto Sanga 34.08% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.19% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.49% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.51% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.71% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.29% (+0.01)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 77.48% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.52% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.1% (+0.02)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.72%
Under 1.5 61.28% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 40.88%
Draw 25.04%
Kyoto Sanga 34.08%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 8.79% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 7.9% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.08%