J1 League | Gameweek 34
Oct 19, 2024 at 6am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Tulio (65', 65'), Fukuda (90', 90')
Fukuoka (47'), Fukuoka (47'), Miyamoto (66'), Miyamoto (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harada (66'), Harada (66')
Ryan (90+6'), Ryan (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, October 6 at 6am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 5 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawSagan Tosu
47.57% (-1.48 -1.48)23.38% (0.323 0.32)29.04% (1.154 1.15)
Both teams to score 60.62% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (-0.73699999999999 -0.74)40.68% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93% (-0.758 -0.76)63.07% (0.758 0.76)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)17.35% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.26% (-1.475 -1.47)47.74% (1.475 1.48)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (0.40899999999999 0.41)26.65% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (0.541 0.54)61.89% (-0.543 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 47.58%
    Sagan Tosu 29.04%
    Draw 23.39%
Kyoto SangaDrawSagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 47.58%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.205 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.272 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2024 11am
Gameweek 19
Sagan Tosu
3-0
Kyoto Sanga
Ryan (58', 60'), Naganuma (77')

Fukuoka (86')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 11am
Gameweek 29
Sagan Tosu
3-2
Kyoto Sanga
Ono (9'), Harada (90+9'), Seok-Ho (90+11')
Naganuma (36'), Fujita (85')
Hara (32'), Toyokawa (60')
Appiah Tawiah (90+5')
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Gameweek 9
Kyoto Sanga
2-3
Sagan Tosu
Oct 1, 2022 7am
Gameweek 31
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Kyoto Sanga
Toyokawa (17')
Apr 10, 2022 8am
Gameweek 8
Kyoto Sanga
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Utaka (10', 70'), Kawasaki (14')
Matsuda (35'), Mendes (74'), Asada (87')
Ono (77' pen.)
Ono (60')
rhs 2.0


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