Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
42.84% ( -0.23)	26.32% ( -0.16)	30.84% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.37% (

0.79)

52.63% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

0.67)

74.28% (

-0.67)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

0.23)

24.36% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

0.33)

58.77% (

-0.33)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55% (

0.69)

31.45% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17% (

0.79)

67.83% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 42.84%

Kyoto Sanga 30.84%

Draw 26.31%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.84%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.84%