Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.