J1 League Gameweek 33
Nov 25, 2023 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • goal Taichi Hara 20'
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 90'+8'

Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 5.00am
Yokohama 2 - 0 Cerezo
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 5.00am
Kawasaki 3 - 3 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yuta Toyokawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 55.45% (-0.09)
Draw 23.43% (+0.04)
Kyoto Sanga 21.12% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.04% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.86% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.14% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.7% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 70.3% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.47% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.53% (+0.07)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 82.79% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 17.21% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 52.51% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 47.49% (+0.12)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 62.86% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.14% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.07% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 55.44%
Draw 23.43%
Kyoto Sanga 21.12%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.24% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 55.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 23.43%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 6.33% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.12%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 13
May 14, 2023 5.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • goal Tomoya Wakahara 26' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 26, 2022 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Takashi Inui 48' goal
  • Ryuya Nishio 84' yellowcard
  • Koji Toriumi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kosuke Taketomi 34'
  • yellowcard Holneiker Mendes Marreiros 73'
  • yellowcard Mendes 73'