Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.