Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.