Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.