J1 League Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Jun 10, 2023 8.00am
Yokohama 4 - 3 Reysol
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mao Hosoya

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 6.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 3 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Kashiwa Reysol 35.49% (-0.91)
Draw 26.57% (+0.49)
Albirex Niigata 37.93% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% (-1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.34% (-2.12)
Under 2.5 52.66% (+2.13)
Over 3.5 25.69% (-1.85)
Under 3.5 74.3% (+1.85)
Over 4.5 11.8% (-1.21)
Under 4.5 88.2% (+1.21)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 71.57% (-1.56)
Under 0.5 28.43% (+1.56)
Over 1.5 35.82% (-2.00)
Under 1.5 64.18% (+2.01)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 73.01% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 26.99% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 37.66% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 62.34% (+1.01)

Score analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 35.49%
Draw 26.57%
Albirex Niigata 37.93%
Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 9.65% (+0.39)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.21)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 7.67% (+0.63)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.25)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.57%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 10.04% (+0.61)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.87% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.93%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium