J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
0 - 0
Albirex Niigata

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 4-3 Reysol
Saturday, June 10 at 8am in J1 League

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 11 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawAlbirex Niigata
35.49% (-0.905 -0.91)26.57% (0.488 0.49)37.93% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-1.688 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.34% (-2.118 -2.12)52.66% (2.121 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-1.843 -1.84)74.3% (1.846 1.85)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-1.552 -1.55)28.43% (1.557 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (-1.997 -2)64.18% (2.001 2)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.754 -0.75)26.99% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-1 -1)62.34% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 35.49%
    Albirex Niigata 37.93%
    Draw 26.57%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.623 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.608 0.61)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.93%

How you voted: Reysol vs Albirex Niigata

Kashiwa Reysol
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Albirex Niigata
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 6am
Gameweek 12
Albirex Niigata
0-0
Reysol