Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.