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J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2023 at 7am UK
Best Amenity Stadium
Sagan Tosu
1 - 1
Reysol
Naganuma (55')
Horigome (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Savio (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKashiwa Reysol
39.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 47.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.004999999999999 0)79.2% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)64.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.38% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.0040000000000013 0)70% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 39.46%
    Kashiwa Reysol 32.52%
    Draw 28.01%
Sagan TosuDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.04%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.52%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 11am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Reysol

Kikuchi (71')
Muto (19')
Kawaguchi (90+6')
Apr 29, 2022 8am
Reysol
1-4
Sagan Tosu
Hosoya (55')
Honda (27'), Tashiro (45'), Fukuta (64'), Iino (82')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
Reysol
1-3
Sagan Tosu
Da Silva (37')
Segawa (49')
Higuchi (13'), Koyamatsu (31', 55')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
Mar 17, 2021 10am
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Reysol
Hayashi (29', 64')
Tashiro (54')
Nov 21, 2020 6am
Reysol
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Olunga (87')
Otani (45+1'), Richardson (84')
Hayashi (53'), Honda (66')
rhs 2.0
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