J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 4, 2023 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Yoichi Naganuma 83' goal

Sagan Tosu vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 7.00am
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result

Sagan Tosu 33.01% (+0.01)
Draw 29.51% (+0.03)
Nagoya Grampus 37.48% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.3% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.35% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 63.65% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 17.07% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 82.93% (+0.05)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 64.31% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.69% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.54% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.46% (+0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 67.32% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.68% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 30.77% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 69.23% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 33%
Draw 29.51%
Nagoya Grampus 37.48%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.01% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.66% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.51%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 13.04% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.48%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kohei Tezuka 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 71'
J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 6, 2022 5.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Akito Fukuta 2' goal
  • Yutaka Yoshida 88' yellowcard
  • goal Akito Fukuta 30'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 80'
J1 League Gameweek 20
Jul 17, 2021 11.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 41' yellowcard
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 48' goal
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 51' goal
  • Tomoya Koyamatsu 80' goal
  • goal Dudu 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 53'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2021 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Kazuki Nagasawa 44' yellowcard
  • Sho Inagaki 85' goal
  • goal Daichi Hayashi 6'
  • yellowcard Daichi Hayashi 24'
  • yellowcard Nanasei Iino 31'
  • goal Noriyoshi Sakai 45'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Nov 3, 2020 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • redcard Gabriel Xavier 85'
J1 League Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2020 10.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 55' yellowcard
  • Naoki Maeda 62' goal
  • Yutaka Yoshida 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yohei Toyoda 55'
  • yellowcard Tiago Alves 64'
  • redcard Tiago Alves 83'