J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 7.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Shuto Machino 7' goal
  • Shuto Machino 21' goal
  • Shuto Yamamoto 78' goal

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2022 11.00am
Vissel Kobe 1 - 0 Shonan Bellmare

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 7.00am
Urawa 2 - 1 Sagan Tosu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result

Shonan Bellmare 40.46% (-0.32)
Draw 27.46% (+0.14)
Sagan Tosu 32.07% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.82% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.29% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 56.7% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 22.34% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 77.66% (+0.39)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5 72.52% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 27.48% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 37.03% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 62.97% (+0.52)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 67.32% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 32.68% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 30.77% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 69.23% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Shonan Bellmare 40.45%
Draw 27.46%
Sagan Tosu 32.07%
Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.59% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.98% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.46%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 10.04% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.07%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 26, 2022 6.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yuta Fujiwara 24' goal
  • goal Shuto Machino 68'
  • yellowcard Ryota Nagaki 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Oct 16, 2021 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 73' goal
  • goal Shuto Machino 19'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 27, 2021 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka
  • Shun Nakamura 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keita Yamashita 5'
  • yellowcard Dudu 45'
  • goal Daichi Hayashi 80'
J1 League Gameweek 24
Oct 25, 2020 5.00am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Dong-Geon Cho 34' goal
  • Daiki Miya 66' yellowcard
  • Daichi Hayashi 75' goal
  • goal Akimi Barada 20'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 45'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 19
Oct 21, 2020 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Tiago Alves 45'