Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
0 - 3
Sagan Tosu


Patric (21'), Kyung-won (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nishikawa (15'), Miyashiro (52'), Ono (78')
Seok-Ho (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
34.84% (-1.098 -1.1)25.38% (-1.108 -1.11)39.78% (2.211 2.21)
Both teams to score 56.19% (3.612 3.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (4.682 4.68)47.59% (-4.677 -4.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (4.18 4.18)69.79% (-4.175 -4.18)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (1.582 1.58)26.39% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (2.059 2.06)61.54% (-2.055 -2.06)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (3.342 3.34)23.67% (-3.337 -3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (4.59 4.59)57.78% (-4.583 -4.58)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 34.84%
    Sagan Tosu 39.78%
    Draw 25.38%
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 8.32% (-1.303 -1.3)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.038999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.588 -0.59)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.325 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.84%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.6 -0.6)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-1.307 -1.31)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.502 0.5)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.886 -0.89)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.393 0.39)
0-2 @ 6.48% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.552 0.55)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.291 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.472 0.47)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.317 0.32)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.198 0.2)
2-4 @ 1% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.78%

Head to Head
May 29, 2022 9am
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Gamba Osaka
Horigome (19'), Seok-Ho (88')
Yamami (58')
Oct 23, 2021 9am
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Usami (10')
Apr 14, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Gamba Osaka

Nakano (61')
Usami (68')
Nov 29, 2020 8am
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Patric (77')
Kurata (79')
Sagara (11')
Dudu (52'), Harakawa (90+1')
Oct 7, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Lopez (90+2')
Watanabe (21', 34')
Takao (74')