J1 League Gameweek 24
Aug 7, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yoichi Naganuma 4' yellowcard
  • Taisei Miyashiro 43' goal
  • Yuki Kakita 85' goal

Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Jul 31, 2022 10.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 3 - 3 Sagan Tosu

Jubilo Iwata

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result

Sagan Tosu 47.33% (-0.69)
Draw 27.25% (+0.14)
Jubilo Iwata 25.42% (+0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.76% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.19% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 58.81% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 20.68% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 79.32% (+0.09)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 75.09% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 24.9% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 40.47% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 59.53% (+0.52)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 60.93% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 39.06% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 24.22% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 75.78% (-0.41)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 47.33%
Draw 27.25%
Jubilo Iwata 25.42%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 47.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.73% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.25%
Jubilo Iwata
0-1 @ 9.15% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 5.98% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.3% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 25.42%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 18, 2022 10.00am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Fabian Gonzalez 8' goal
  • Fabian Gonzalez 13' goal
  • Naoki Kanuma 27' goal
  • Fabian Gonzalez 47' yellowcard
  • goal Taisei Miyashiro 53'
  • yellowcard Masaya Tashiro 69'