J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 2, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
3 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Araki (22'), Sasaki (63'), Morishima (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yamamoto (11'), Yoshinaga (16'), Uehara (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last Six:
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Hiroshima
Wednesday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League

Jubilo Iwata

Last Six:
    Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
    Saturday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 15.03%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

    Result
    Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawJubilo Iwata
    61.73% (-1.457 -1.46)23.24% (0.684 0.68)15.03% (0.771 0.77)
    Both teams to score 41.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    44.07% (-1.158 -1.16)55.92% (1.155 1.16)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    22.97% (-0.95 -0.95)77.02% (0.947 0.95)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.22% (-0.928 -0.93)17.78% (0.926 0.93)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    51.51% (-1.625 -1.63)48.48% (1.622 1.62)
    Jubilo Iwata Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    50.98% (0.428 0.43)49.02% (-0.43 -0.43)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    16.03% (0.305 0.31)83.96% (-0.307 -0.31)
    Score Analysis
        Sanfrecce Hiroshima 61.72%
        Jubilo Iwata 15.03%
        Draw 23.24%
    Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawJubilo Iwata
    1-0 @ 15.05% (0.22 0.22)
    2-0 @ 12.99% (-0.22 -0.22)
    2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
    3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.358 -0.36)
    3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.187 -0.19)
    4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.259 -0.26)
    4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.155 -0.16)
    3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
    5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
    Other @ 3.03%
    Total : 61.72%
    		1-1 @ 10.73% (0.28 0.28)
    0-0 @ 8.71% (0.381 0.38)
    2-2 @ 3.3% (0.028 0.03)
    Other @ 0.49%
    Total : 23.24%
    		0-1 @ 6.21% (0.345 0.35)
    1-2 @ 3.83% (0.146 0.15)
    0-2 @ 2.22% (0.148 0.15)
    1-3 @ 0.91% (0.045 0.05)
    Other @ 1.87%
    Total : 15.03%

    Head to Head
    Apr 17, 2022 8am
    Jubilo Iwata
    2-2
    Hiroshima
    Suzuki (39'), Gonzalez (89')
    Otsu (86'), Gonzalez (90+3')
    Graca (46' og.), Mitsuta (61')
    Santos (85')