Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.