J1 League | Gameweek 18

Jun 25, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 3
Hiroshima

Watari (37')
Grolli (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mitsuta (28'), Vieira (77', 86' pen.)
Ben Khalifa (45'), Notsuda (68')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
32.03% ( 0.5)	30.45% ( 0.04)	37.53% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 40.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.35% (

-0.03)

66.65% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.98% (

-0.02)

85.03% (

0.02)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.94% (

0.36)

38.06% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.17% (

0.34)

74.83% (

-0.34)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

-0.36)

34.24% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

-0.39)

70.94% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 32.02%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 37.52%

Draw 30.44%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 32.02%	1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.44%	0-1 @ 13.96% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.52%