Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
47.85% ( 0.06)	29.45% ( 0)	22.7% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 38.16% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.77% (

-0.03)

67.23% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.58% (

-0.02)

85.42% (

0.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.01)

28.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

0.02)

64.4% (

-0.02)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.44% (

-0.07)

46.56% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.85% (

-0.06)

82.15% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 47.84%

Avispa Fukuoka 22.69%

Draw 29.44%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 16.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 47.84%	0-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.74% 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 29.44%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.69%