J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2022 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kenyu Sugimoto 65' yellowcard
  • Yuki Otsu 84' goal
  • Yuki Otsu 85' goal
  • goal Mateus 43'

Jubilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2022 8.00am
Jubilo Iwata 2 - 2 Hiroshima

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2022 11.00am
FC Tokyo 0 - 0 Nagoya Grampus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result

Jubilo Iwata 35.66%
Draw 29.39%
Nagoya Grampus 34.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.77%

Goals

Over 2.5 36.85%
Under 2.5 63.15%
Over 3.5 17.42%
Under 3.5 82.58%

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 66.4%
Under 0.5 33.6%
Over 1.5 29.75%
Under 1.5 70.25%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 65.92%
Under 0.5 34.08%
Over 1.5 29.24%
Under 1.5 70.76%

Score analysis

Jubilo Iwata 35.65%
Draw 29.39%
Nagoya Grampus 34.94%
Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.39%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 12.32%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.94%