Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Gamba Osaka
47.77%	26.42%	25.8%

Both teams to score 48.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38%

55.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22%

76.78%

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7%

23.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75%

57.24%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04%

36.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25%

73.75%

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 47.77%

Gamba Osaka 25.8%

Draw 26.42%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.8%