J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 18, 2022 10.00am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Fabian Gonzalez 8' goal
  • Fabian Gonzalez 13' goal
  • Naoki Kanuma 27' goal
  • Fabian Gonzalez 47' yellowcard
  • goal Taisei Miyashiro 53'
  • yellowcard Masaya Tashiro 69'

Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
May 29, 2022 8.00am
Jubilo Iwata 0 - 2 Yokohama

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
May 29, 2022 9.00am
Sagan Tosu 2 - 1 Gamba Osaka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Jubilo Iwata 35.97% (+0.11)
Draw 27.68% (+0.01)
Sagan Tosu 36.35% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.96% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 57.04% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 22.07% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.93% (+0.03)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 69.72% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.28% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33.55% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 66.45% (-0.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 69.96% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 30.04% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 33.83% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 66.17% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Jubilo Iwata 35.96%
Draw 27.67%
Sagan Tosu 36.34%
Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.86% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.49% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36.34%