J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2022 at 11am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
2 - 1
Jubilo Iwata

Maikuma (32', 40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzalez (79')
Otsu (88')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Jubilo Iwata

Last Six:
    Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Yokohama
    Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League
    Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
    Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

    Result
    Cerezo OsakaDrawJubilo Iwata
    42.59%27.34%30.07%
    Both teams to score 48.43%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    43.15%56.84%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    22.22%77.77%
    Cerezo Osaka Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    73.6%26.4%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    38.44%61.55%
    Jubilo Iwata Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    65.79%34.2%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    29.1%70.89%
    Score Analysis
        Cerezo Osaka 42.58%
        Jubilo Iwata 30.07%
        Draw 27.34%
    Cerezo OsakaDrawJubilo Iwata
    1-0 @ 12.02%
    2-1 @ 8.59%
    2-0 @ 8.01%
    3-1 @ 3.82%
    3-0 @ 3.56%
    3-2 @ 2.05%
    4-1 @ 1.27%
    4-0 @ 1.18%
    Other @ 2.09%
    Total : 42.58%
    		1-1 @ 12.9%
    0-0 @ 9.03%
    2-2 @ 4.61%
    Other @ 0.8%
    Total : 27.34%
    		0-1 @ 9.69%
    1-2 @ 6.92%
    0-2 @ 5.2%
    1-3 @ 2.48%
    0-3 @ 1.86%
    2-3 @ 1.65%
    Other @ 2.29%
    Total : 30.07%

    How you voted: Cerezo vs Jubilo Iwata

    Cerezo Osaka
    60.0%
    Draw
    40.0%
    Jubilo Iwata
    0.0%
    5