Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.