Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
40.36%	28.58%	31.06%

Both teams to score 45.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.05%

60.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.05%

80.95%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42%

29.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39%

65.61%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.35%

35.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.58%

72.42%

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 40.35%

Cerezo Osaka 31.05%

Draw 28.57%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.84% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.35%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.05%