Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.