Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.