J1 League | Gameweek 11
Jul 12, 2020 at 11am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
0 - 2
Nagoya Grampus


Mineiro (57'), Sakamoto (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jonjic (38' og.), Abe (61')
Maruyama (88')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
46.68%24.51%28.8%
Both teams to score 56.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02%45.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71%68.29%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21%19.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.15%51.85%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.52%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 46.68%
    Nagoya Grampus 28.8%
    Draw 24.51%
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.13%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.8%

rhs 2.0


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