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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 29, 2022 at 9am UK
Tosu Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Gamba Osaka

Horigome (19'), Seok-Ho (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yamami (58')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Gamba Osaka vs. Yokohama
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawGamba Osaka
49.6% (0.257 0.26) 26.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 23.44% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 44.75% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.82% (-0.345 -0.34)59.18% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39% (-0.266 -0.27)79.61% (0.267 0.27)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)58.26% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-0.479 -0.48)41.11% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (-0.429 -0.43)77.66% (0.431 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 49.6%
    Gamba Osaka 23.44%
    Draw 26.95%
Sagan TosuDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 14.08% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.105 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.44%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 9am
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Usami (10')
Apr 14, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Gamba Osaka

Nakano (61')
Usami (68')
Nov 29, 2020 8am
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Patric (77')
Kurata (79')
Sagara (11')
Dudu (52'), Harakawa (90+1')
Oct 7, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Lopez (90+2')
Watanabe (21', 34')
Takao (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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