MX23RW : Sunday, June 26 09:09:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
May 29, 2022 at 9am UK at Tosu Stadium
Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Gamba Osaka
Horigome (19'), Seok-Ho (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yamami (58')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Gamba Osaka vs. Yokohama
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawGamba Osaka
49.6% (0.257 0.26) 26.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 23.44% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 44.75% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.82% (-0.345 -0.34)59.18% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39% (-0.266 -0.27)79.61% (0.267 0.27)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)58.26% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-0.479 -0.48)41.11% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (-0.429 -0.43)77.66% (0.431 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 49.6%
    Gamba Osaka 23.44%
    Draw 26.95%
Sagan TosuDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 14.08% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.105 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.44%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 9am
Apr 14, 2021 11am
Nov 29, 2020 8am
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Patric (77')
Kurata (79')
Sagara (11')
Dudu (52'), Harakawa (90+1')
Oct 7, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Lopez (90+2')
Watanabe (21', 34')
Takao (74')

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