J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 23, 2021 9.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Takashi Usami 10' goal

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2021 7.00am
Urawa 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Patric

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2021 6.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Keita Yamashita

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Gamba Osaka 34.53%
Draw 26.06%
Sagan Tosu 39.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.38%
Under 2.5 50.62%
Over 3.5 27.47%
Under 3.5 72.53%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 71.97%
Under 0.5 28.02%
Over 1.5 36.32%
Under 1.5 63.68%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 74.76%
Under 0.5 25.24%
Over 1.5 40.02%
Under 1.5 59.98%

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 34.53%
Draw 26.06%
Sagan Tosu 39.4%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.4%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2021 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 61' yellowcard
  • goal Takashi Usami 68'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Nov 29, 2020 8.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Patric 77' goal
  • Shu Kurata 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ryunosuke Sagara 11'
  • yellowcard Dudu 52'
  • yellowcard Riki Harakawa 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Oct 7, 2020 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Renzo Lopez 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kazuma Watanabe 21'
  • goal Kazuma Watanabe 34'
  • yellowcard Ryu Takao 74'