J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 11, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Shirasaki (58'), Dudu (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thiago (65')
Hara (23')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawShimizu S-Pulse
46.08%27.18%26.74%
Both teams to score 46.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23%57.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49%78.51%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.72%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66%37.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88%74.12%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 46.07%
    Shimizu S-Pulse 26.74%
    Draw 27.17%
Sagan TosuDrawShimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 8.96%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.74%