Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.