Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
23.25% ( 1.39)	25.27% ( -0.05)	51.47% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 49.21% (

1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74% (

1.48)

53.25% (

-1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

1.24)

74.81% (

-1.24)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.05% (

2.19)

37.94% (

-2.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29% (

2.06)

74.71% (

-2.07)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

0.03)

20.7% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

0.06)

53.3% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 23.25%

Yokohama F Marinos 51.46%

Draw 25.26%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.25%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.73) 0-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.46%