J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 18, 2022 at 10am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Nishizawa (7'), Thiago (41'), Kololli (85')
Katayama (48'), Thiago (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yamagishi (80')
Grolli (13'), Juanma (29')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

Last Six:
Last Game: Reysol 3-1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka

Last Six:
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawAvispa Fukuoka
49.48% (3.512 3.51)26.77% (-1.708 -1.71)23.75% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 45.55% (2.866 2.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.69% (4.469 4.47)58.31% (-4.468 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07% (3.376 3.38)78.93% (-3.373 -3.37)
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (3.737 3.74)23.68% (-3.736 -3.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (5.101 5.1)57.79% (-5.098 -5.1)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68% (0.875 0.88)40.32% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (0.786 0.79)76.94% (-0.78399999999999 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 49.48%
    Avispa Fukuoka 23.75%
    Draw 26.77%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.86 -0.86)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9% (0.611 0.61)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.678 0.68)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.703 0.7)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.358 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.393 0.39)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.385 0.39)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-0 @ 9.55% (-1.742 -1.74)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.368 0.37)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-1.338 -1.34)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.503 -0.5)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.75%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 5.30am
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Shimizu S-Pulse
Mary (81')
Shigehiro (45+3')
Thiago (27'), Carlinhos (49')
Matsuoka (35')
Mar 6, 2021 5am
Shimizu S-Pulse
2-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Carlinhos (12'), Nakayama (65')
Yamagishi (61'), Salomonsson (90+2')
Miya (90+4')