J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 21, 2022 at 5am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
3 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

Mitsuta (5'), Santos (26'), Asada (66' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Taketomi (42')
Appiah Tawiah (55')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last Six:
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Kyoto Sanga

Last Six:
    Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Kawasaki
    Sunday, May 29 at 6am in J1 League
    Next Game: Kashima Antlers vs. Kyoto Sanga
    Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.61%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

    Result
    Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKyoto Sanga
    51.06% (-0.781 -0.78)26.33% (-0.209 -0.21)22.61% (0.988 0.99)
    Both teams to score 45.55% (1.652 1.65)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    42.31% (1.56 1.56)57.69% (-1.562 -1.56)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.55% (1.22 1.22)78.44% (-1.222 -1.22)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.29% (0.318 0.32)22.7% (-0.321 -0.32)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    43.63% (0.47000000000001 0.47)56.36% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)
    Kyoto Sanga Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    58.93% (1.901 1.9)41.07% (-1.903 -1.9)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    22.38% (1.647 1.65)77.62% (-1.649 -1.65)
    Score Analysis
        Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51.04%
        Kyoto Sanga 22.61%
        Draw 26.33%
    Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKyoto Sanga
    1-0 @ 13.82% (-0.71 -0.71)
    2-0 @ 10.24% (-0.43 -0.43)
    2-1 @ 9.12% (0.108 0.11)
    3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.159 -0.16)
    3-1 @ 4.51% (0.095 0.09)
    3-2 @ 2.01% (0.143 0.14)
    4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
    4-1 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
    Other @ 2.74%
    Total : 51.04%
    		1-1 @ 12.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
    0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.57 -0.57)
    2-2 @ 4.06% (0.252 0.25)
    Other @ 0.65%
    Total : 26.33%
    		0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
    1-2 @ 5.47% (0.291 0.29)
    0-2 @ 3.69% (0.163 0.16)
    1-3 @ 1.62% (0.165 0.17)
    2-3 @ 1.2% (0.132 0.13)
    0-3 @ 1.1% (0.101 0.1)
    Other @ 1.22%
    Total : 22.61%