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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 29, 2022 at 6am UK
Nishikyogoku Athletic Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
1 - 0
Kawasaki

Sasaki (60' og.)
Appiah Tawiah (69'), Takeda (80'), Ogiwara (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chinen (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, May 29 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Kashima Antlers vs. Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, May 29 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Kawasaki vs. Consadole
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.85%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawKawasaki Frontale
15.76% (1.284 1.28) 21.78% (0.295 0.29) 62.46% (-1.577 -1.58)
Both teams to score 47.54% (2.054 2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (1.163 1.16)49.18% (-1.16 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (1.039 1.04)71.25% (-1.038 -1.04)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (2.499 2.5)43.95% (-2.497 -2.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92% (1.986 1.99)80.08% (-1.984 -1.98)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (-0.121 -0.12)15.18% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (-0.231 -0.23)43.8% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 15.76%
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.45%
    Draw 21.78%
Kyoto SangaDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.122 0.12)
2-1 @ 4.25% (0.357 0.36)
2-0 @ 2.26% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.17% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 15.76%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.321 0.32)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 12.57% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-2 @ 11.85% (-0.68 -0.68)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.134 0.13)
0-3 @ 7.45% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-3 @ 6.13% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.192 0.19)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.086 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 62.45%

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