AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2022 at 10am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 0
Guangzhou

Chinen (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zhou (60'), Chen (90+3')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Guangzhou.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

Last Six:
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, May 29 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Kawasaki vs. Consadole
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Guangzhou

Last Six:
Last Game: Wuhan Three Towns 6-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, June 7 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Next Game: Guangzhou vs. Wuhan
Saturday, June 11 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 14.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kawasaki Frontale in this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawGuangzhou
63.41%22.47%14.13%
Both teams to score 41.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31%54.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98%76.02%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25%16.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.32%46.68%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39%49.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62%84.38%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 63.4%
    Guangzhou 14.13%
    Draw 22.46%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawGuangzhou
1-0 @ 14.84%
2-0 @ 13.26%
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.54%
4-0 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.94%
5-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 63.4%
1-1 @ 10.4%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.83%
1-2 @ 3.65%
0-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 14.13%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 10am
Guangzhou
0-8
Kawasaki

Su (90+3')
Chinen (7', 12'), Kurumaya (16', 71'), Kobayashi (21', 39'), Miyagi (50'), Songkrasin (69')
Matsui (10')
Jun 29, 2021 5pm
Guangzhou
0-7
Kawasaki

Xu (25')
Hasegawa (7'), Tachibanada (8'), Tono (41'), Chinen (47' pen., 59'), Yamamura (51'), Wakizaka (56')
Issaka (85')