AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2022 at 10am UK
Tianhe Stadium

Guangzhou
0 - 5
Ulsan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Yun (4'), Koszta (54'), Qazaishvili (64'), Amano (73'), Seol (85')
Kim (37')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Guangzhou and Ulsan Hyundai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wuhan Three Towns 6-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, June 7 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Next Game: Guangzhou vs. Wuhan
Saturday, June 11 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Saturday, April 30 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawUlsan Hyundai
33.03%25.82%41.14%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12%71.88%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39%28.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59%64.41%
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76%24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75%58.25%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 33.03%
    Ulsan Hyundai 41.14%
    Draw 25.82%
GuangzhouDrawUlsan Hyundai
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.03%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.8%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.14%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 10am
Ulsan
3-0
Guangzhou
Koszta (28'), Chu-Young (57'), Yun (68')
rhs 2.0


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