Johor Darul
5 - 0
Guangzhou

Bergson (10', 27', 52'), He (13' og.), Saifullah (81')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ning (20')
Guan (70')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Johor Darul Ta'zim and Guangzhou.

Form, Standings, Stats

Johor Darul Ta'zim

Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Saturday, April 30 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Next Game: Johor Darul vs. Urawa
Wednesday, August 17 at 11pm in AFC Champions League

Guangzhou

Last Six:

Last Game: Wuhan Three Towns 6-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, June 7 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Next Game: Guangzhou vs. Wuhan
Saturday, June 11 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Guangzhou City	2	-5	0
17	Hebei	2	-5	0
18	Guangzhou	2	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Johor Darul Ta'zim	Draw	Guangzhou
30.26%	23.39%	46.35%

Both teams to score 61.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01%

39.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64%

62.35%

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49%

25.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.64%

60.35%

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44%

17.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.9%

48.1%

Score Analysis

Johor Darul Ta'zim 30.26%

Guangzhou 46.35%

Draw 23.39%

Johor Darul Ta'zim	Draw	Guangzhou
2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.26%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 9.26% 0-1 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 5.37% 0-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 2.34% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.91% Total : 46.35%