AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pohang Steel Yard

Pohang Steelers
4 - 1
Johor Darul

Tashchi (27' pen.), Kang (35' pen.), Kwon (82'), Sang-hyub (90+1' pen.)
Sang-hyub (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Velazquez (17')
Lowry (3'), Nasrulhaq (19'), Mauricio (32'), Fazail (38'), Davies (79')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Pohang Steelers and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pohang Steelers win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pohang Steelers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pohang Steelers would win this match.

Result
Pohang SteelersDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
43.62%23.24%33.14%
Both teams to score 63.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.05%37.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.79%60.21%
Pohang Steelers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16%17.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41%48.59%
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19%22.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48%56.52%
Score Analysis
    Pohang Steelers 43.62%
    Johor Darul Ta'zim 33.14%
    Draw 23.23%
Pohang SteelersDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 8.94%
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-2 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 43.62%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.07%
3-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.23%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-1 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 33.14%