J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 16, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Yokohama

Miyashiro (24'), Seok-Ho (59')
Fukuta (81'), Diego (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ceara (18' pen.), Mizunuma (85')
Tsunoda (83')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League

Yokohama F Marinos

Last Six:
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama F Marinos
21.41% (0.208 0.21)23.54% (0.187 0.19)55.06% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (-0.535 -0.53)48.23% (0.535 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.494 -0.49)70.38% (0.491 0.49)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)36.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (-0.096 -0.1)73.69% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (-0.339 -0.34)17.38% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (-0.595 -0.59)47.79% (0.594 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 21.41%
    Yokohama F Marinos 55.05%
    Draw 23.53%
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.124 0.12)
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.41%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 11.22% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 55.05%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 10am
Yokohama
0-0
Sagan Tosu

Horigome (36')
Aug 25, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
0-4
Yokohama

Higuchi (51')
Maeda (41'), Ceara (53' pen.), Mizunuma (83'), Nakagawa (89')
Iwata (76')
Jun 23, 2021 11am
Yokohama
2-0
Sagan Tosu
Junior (63'), Wada (87')
Iwata (73')

Ohata (51'), Shimakawa (86')
Sep 30, 2020 11am
Yokohama
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Lima (84')
Morishita (49')
Sep 19, 2020 8am
Sagan Tosu
1-3
Yokohama
Hayashi (21')
Lima (1'), Santos (13'), Junior (34')
Mizunuma (44'), Wada (45'), Koike (90+5')