J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 10, 2022 at 11am UK
Kincho Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Cerezo
2 - 2
Yokohama

Kato (31'), Taggart (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ceara (84' pen., 90+2')
Junior (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F Marinos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawYokohama F Marinos
26.11% (-0.694 -0.69)24.34% (-0.264 -0.26)49.55% (0.958 0.96)
Both teams to score 54.98% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94% (0.621 0.62)47.06% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7% (0.574 0.57)69.3% (-0.575 -0.58)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (-0.218 -0.22)32.09% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.248 -0.25)68.57% (0.248 0.25)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (0.63200000000001 0.63)19.04% (-0.632 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38% (1.039 1.04)50.62% (-1.038 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 26.11%
    Yokohama F Marinos 49.54%
    Draw 24.33%
Cerezo OsakaDrawYokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.4% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.65% (0.155 0.16)
2-3 @ 3% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.93% (0.101 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 49.54%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 5am
Yokohama
2-2
Cerezo
Nakagawa (69'), Lopes (78')
Shindo (40'), Kiyotake (90')
Inui (9'), Mendes (27'), Harakawa (51')
Oct 24, 2021 11am
Cerezo
2-1
Yokohama
Inui (6'), Kato (21')
Matsuda (59')
Saneto (43')
Apr 6, 2021 11am
Yokohama
1-0
Cerezo
Onaiwu (87')
Nakagawa (45'), Takano (54')

Matsuda (35')
Oct 17, 2020 7am
Cerezo
4-1
Yokohama
Okuno (10', 67'), Toyokawa (71', 80')
Toyokawa (88')
Mizunuma (90+1')
Santos (28')
Sep 13, 2020 11am
Yokohama
1-2
Cerezo
Lima (52')
Bunmathan (56')
Ito (65')
Kiyotake (58'), Takagi (86')